Large wager of $166M on ADA maintains steady price, but Cardano could surge to $1, as long as the following conditions are met:
Cardano (ADA) is experiencing a bullish momentum in August 2025, driven by whale accumulation, institutional inflows, and positive technical signals. Despite short-term volatility, predictions range from moderate near-term prices around $0.87–$0.90 up to a potential surge beyond $3.00 by year-end, contingent on network upgrades and ETF approvals.
In the past 24 hours, Cardano gained 2.82%. However, trading volume for ADA decreased by 21.49% to $2.14 billion. The Long-to-Short ratio in the Cardano market fell below 1, indicating more selling volume than buying volume. Interestingly, the Open Interest Weighted Funding Rate for the ADA perpetual market has a significantly positive reading of 0.0108%, indicating a majority of derivative contracts are from long positions.
Large investors, or whales, have accumulated approximately 100 million ADA tokens in 24 hours, indicating strong demand from whales. Institutional inflows reached $73 million in 2025, with custody holdings surpassing $900 million—signaling growing institutional confidence based on Cardano’s liquidity and ecosystem maturity. Analysts suggest this accumulation is driven by structural value rather than short-term speculation.
ADA price holds strong support at about $0.85 to $0.88 as of August 2025 and could target $1.00 to $1.10 for a breakout. ADA's potential move to reclaim $1 is dependent on breaching resistance levels at $0.83, $0.88, and $0.93. If ADA fails to break the resistance at $0.83, it risks a significant decline.
The Chang Hard Fork, Hydra layer-2 scaling progress, and the recently approved IOE Roadmap introducing advanced smart contracts and performance upgrades are major catalysts expected to drive adoption, efficiency, and institutional interest. Additionally, a potential ADA spot ETF approval could inject significant fresh capital into the market, greatly supporting prices.
While technical momentum is bullish, short-term volatility persists, so traders and investors should watch the $0.85 support and $1.00-$1.10 resistance zones closely. The buying activity from whales and spot investors has been notable in the last few days, with whales buying 200 million ADA, worth approximately $166 million, between August 9 and 10. More recently, spot buyers added an additional $3.61 million to their ADA holdings.
The combination of strong whale accumulation, healthy institutional inflows, improving on-chain activity with over 112 million transactions in 2025, and decreasing transaction fees below $0.25 all support Cardano's fundamental adoption thesis. The bullish sentiment across the market has been reinforced by recent spot buying activity. However, perpetual trading volumes have shown a misalignment with the buying activity from other cohorts.
Overall, Cardano’s price trend in mid-2025 is positive, with strong indicators from whale and institutional participation, bullish perpetual trading activity, and key network upgrades positioning it for potentially significant gains, provided it clears crucial near-term resistance levels around $1 to $1.10.
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